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10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1038/s41591-020-1025-y
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32770167!7613562!32770167
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid32770167      Nat+Med 2020 ; 26 (9): 1411-1416
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  • The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa #MMPMID32770167
  • Sherrard-Smith E; Hogan AB; Hamlet A; Watson OJ; Whittaker C; Winskill P; Ali F; Mohammad AB; Uhomoibhi P; Maikore I; Ogbulafor N; Nikau J; Kont MD; Challenger JD; Verity R; Lambert B; Cairns M; Rao B; Baguelin M; Whittles LK; Lees JA; Bhatia S; Knock ES; Okell L; Slater HC; Ghani AC; Walker PGT; Okoko OO; Churcher TS
  • Nat Med 2020[Sep]; 26 (9): 1411-1416 PMID32770167show ga
  • The burden of malaria is heavily concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where cases and deaths associated with COVID-19 are rising(1). In response, countries are implementing societal measures aimed at curtailing transmission of SARS-CoV-2(2,3). Despite these measures, the COVID-19 epidemic could still result in millions of deaths as local health facilities become overwhelmed(4). Advances in malaria control this century have been largely due to distribution of long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs)(5), with many SSA countries having planned campaigns for 2020. In the present study, we use COVID-19 and malaria transmission models to estimate the impact of disruption of malaria prevention activities and other core health services under four different COVID-19 epidemic scenarios. If activities are halted, the malaria burden in 2020 could be more than double that of 2019. In Nigeria alone, reducing case management for 6 months and delaying LLIN campaigns could result in 81,000 (44,000-119,000) additional deaths. Mitigating these negative impacts is achievable, and LLIN distributions in particular should be prioritized alongside access to antimalarial treatments to prevent substantial malaria epidemics.
  • |*Pandemics[MESH]
  • |Antimalarials/*therapeutic use[MESH]
  • |Betacoronavirus/pathogenicity[MESH]
  • |COVID-19[MESH]
  • |Coronavirus Infections/complications/*epidemiology/parasitology/virology[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Insecticides/therapeutic use[MESH]
  • |Malaria/complications/*epidemiology/parasitology/virology[MESH]
  • |Mosquito Control[MESH]
  • |Pneumonia, Viral/complications/*epidemiology/parasitology/virology[MESH]
  • |Public Health[MESH]


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