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Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Nat+Med 2020 ; 26 (9): 1411-1416 Nephropedia Template TP
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The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa #MMPMID32770167
Nat Med 2020[Sep]; 26 (9): 1411-1416 PMID32770167show ga
The burden of malaria is heavily concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where cases and deaths associated with COVID-19 are rising(1). In response, countries are implementing societal measures aimed at curtailing transmission of SARS-CoV-2(2,3). Despite these measures, the COVID-19 epidemic could still result in millions of deaths as local health facilities become overwhelmed(4). Advances in malaria control this century have been largely due to distribution of long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs)(5), with many SSA countries having planned campaigns for 2020. In the present study, we use COVID-19 and malaria transmission models to estimate the impact of disruption of malaria prevention activities and other core health services under four different COVID-19 epidemic scenarios. If activities are halted, the malaria burden in 2020 could be more than double that of 2019. In Nigeria alone, reducing case management for 6 months and delaying LLIN campaigns could result in 81,000 (44,000-119,000) additional deaths. Mitigating these negative impacts is achievable, and LLIN distributions in particular should be prioritized alongside access to antimalarial treatments to prevent substantial malaria epidemics.