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10.1038/s41562-020-0931-9

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1038/s41562-020-0931-9
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32759985!7641501!32759985
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid32759985      Nat+Hum+Behav 2020 ; 4 (9): 964-971
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  • Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19 #MMPMID32759985
  • Aleta A; Martin-Corral D; Pastore Y Piontti A; Ajelli M; Litvinova M; Chinazzi M; Dean NE; Halloran ME; Longini IM Jr; Merler S; Pentland A; Vespignani A; Moro E; Moreno Y
  • Nat Hum Behav 2020[Sep]; 4 (9): 964-971 PMID32759985show ga
  • While severe social-distancing measures have proven effective in slowing the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, second-wave scenarios are likely to emerge as restrictions are lifted. Here we integrate anonymized, geolocalized mobility data with census and demographic data to build a detailed agent-based model of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission in the Boston metropolitan area. We find that a period of strict social distancing followed by a robust level of testing, contact-tracing and household quarantine could keep the disease within the capacity of the healthcare system while enabling the reopening of economic activities. Our results show that a response system based on enhanced testing and contact tracing can have a major role in relaxing social-distancing interventions in the absence of herd immunity against SARS-CoV-2.
  • |*Betacoronavirus[MESH]
  • |Boston/epidemiology[MESH]
  • |COVID-19[MESH]
  • |COVID-19 Testing[MESH]
  • |Clinical Laboratory Techniques/*statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Contact Tracing/*statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Coronavirus Infections/diagnosis/*epidemiology/prevention & control[MESH]
  • |Family Characteristics[MESH]
  • |Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Infection Control/methods/*statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Models, Statistical[MESH]
  • |Pandemics/prevention & control/*statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Pneumonia, Viral/diagnosis/*epidemiology/prevention & control[MESH]


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