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10.1016/j.ijid.2020.07.052 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.07.052 32745628!7836901!32745628     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 245.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 245.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Int+J+Infect+Dis 2020 ; 99 (ä): 57-61 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=32745628|t=2020. Was school closure effective in mitigating coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)? Time series analysis using Bayesian inference |pdf=|usr=}}{{32745628}} gab.com Text Was school closure effective in mitigating coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) Time series analysis using Bayesian inference JO: Int J Infect Dis http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32745628 #FOAvip OBJECTIVES: The Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is causing significant damage to many nations. For mitigating its risk, Japan called on all elementary, junior high, and high schools nationwide to close beginning March 1, 2020. However, its effectiveness in decreasing the disease burden has not been investigated. METHODS: We used daily data of the COVID-19 and coronavirus infection incidence in Japan until March 31, 2020. Time-series analyses were conducted using the Bayesian method. Local linear trend models with interventional effects were constructed for the number of newly reported cases of COVID-19, including asymptomatic infections. We considered that the effects of the intervention started to appear nine days after the school closure. RESULTS: The intervention of school closure did not appear to decrease the incidence of coronavirus infection. If the effectiveness of school closure began on March 9, the mean coefficient alpha for the effectiveness of the measure was calculated to be 0.08 (95% confidence interval -0.36 to 0.65), and the actual reported cases were more than predicted, yet with a rather wide confidence interval. Sensitivity analyses using different dates also did not demonstrate the effectiveness of the school closure. DISCUSSION: School closure carried out in Japan did not show any mitigating effect on the transmission of novel coronavirus infection. Twit Text FOAVip Was school closure effective in mitigating coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) Time series analysis using Bayesian inference ????Int J Infect Dis http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32745628 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32745628 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|32745628}}</ref> Was school closure effective in mitigating coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)? Time series analysis using Bayesian inference #MMPMID32745628 Iwata K; Doi A; Miyakoshi C Int J Infect Dis 2020[Oct]; 99 (ä): 57-61 PMID32745628show ga OBJECTIVES: The Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is causing significant damage to many nations. For mitigating its risk, Japan called on all elementary, junior high, and high schools nationwide to close beginning March 1, 2020. However, its effectiveness in decreasing the disease burden has not been investigated. METHODS: We used daily data of the COVID-19 and coronavirus infection incidence in Japan until March 31, 2020. Time-series analyses were conducted using the Bayesian method. Local linear trend models with interventional effects were constructed for the number of newly reported cases of COVID-19, including asymptomatic infections. We considered that the effects of the intervention started to appear nine days after the school closure. RESULTS: The intervention of school closure did not appear to decrease the incidence of coronavirus infection. If the effectiveness of school closure began on March 9, the mean coefficient alpha for the effectiveness of the measure was calculated to be 0.08 (95% confidence interval -0.36 to 0.65), and the actual reported cases were more than predicted, yet with a rather wide confidence interval. Sensitivity analyses using different dates also did not demonstrate the effectiveness of the school closure. DISCUSSION: School closure carried out in Japan did not show any mitigating effect on the transmission of novel coronavirus infection. |*Betacoronavirus[MESH] |*Schools[MESH] |Bayes Theorem[MESH] |COVID-19[MESH] |Computer Simulation[MESH] |Coronavirus Infections/*epidemiology/*prevention & control/transmission[MESH] |Humans[MESH] |Incidence[MESH] |Japan/epidemiology[MESH] |Models, Biological[MESH] |Pandemics/*prevention & control[MESH] |Pneumonia, Viral/*epidemiology/*prevention & control/transmission[MESH] |Research Design[MESH] |SARS-CoV-2[MESH]Was school closure effective in mitigating coronavirus disease 2019 (C(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing