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10.1111/1753-6405.13016 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1111/1753-6405.13016 32697418!7405030!32697418     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 245.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Aust+N+Z+J+Public+Health 2020 ; 44 (4): 257-259 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=32697418|t=2020. Delaying the COVID-19 epidemic in Australia: evaluating the effectiveness of international travel bans |pdf=|usr=}}{{32697418}} gab.com Text Delaying the COVID-19 epidemic in Australia: evaluating the effectiveness of international travel bans JO: Aust N Z J Public Health http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32697418 #FOAvip OBJECTIVE: Following the outbreak of novel Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), and the disease named COVID-19, in Wuhan, China in late 2019, countries have implemented different interventions such as travel bans to slow the spread of this novel virus. This brief report evaluates the effect of travel bans imposed to prevent COVID-19 importation in the Australian context. METHODS: We developed a stochastic meta-population model to capture the global dynamics and spread of COVID-19. By adjusting our model to capture the travel bans imposed globally and in Australia, the predicted COVID-19 cases imported to Australia were evaluated in comparison to observed imported cases. RESULTS: Our modelling results closely aligned with observed cases in Australia and elsewhere. We observed a 79% reduction in COVID-19 importation and a delay of the COVID-19 outbreak in Australia by approximately one month. Further projection of COVID-19 to May 2020 showed spread patterns depending on the basic reproduction number. CONCLUSION: Imposing the travel ban was effective in delaying widespread transmission of COVID-19. However, strengthening of the domestic control measures is needed to prevent Australia from becoming another epicentre. Implications for public health: This report has shown the importance of border closure to pandemic control. Twit Text FOAVip Delaying the COVID-19 epidemic in Australia: evaluating the effectiveness of international travel bans ????Aust N Z J Public Health http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32697418 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32697418 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|32697418}}</ref> Delaying the COVID-19 epidemic in Australia: evaluating the effectiveness of international travel bans #MMPMID32697418 Adekunle A; Meehan M; Rojas-Alvarez D; Trauer J; McBryde E Aust N Z J Public Health 2020[Aug]; 44 (4): 257-259 PMID32697418show ga OBJECTIVE: Following the outbreak of novel Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), and the disease named COVID-19, in Wuhan, China in late 2019, countries have implemented different interventions such as travel bans to slow the spread of this novel virus. This brief report evaluates the effect of travel bans imposed to prevent COVID-19 importation in the Australian context. METHODS: We developed a stochastic meta-population model to capture the global dynamics and spread of COVID-19. By adjusting our model to capture the travel bans imposed globally and in Australia, the predicted COVID-19 cases imported to Australia were evaluated in comparison to observed imported cases. RESULTS: Our modelling results closely aligned with observed cases in Australia and elsewhere. We observed a 79% reduction in COVID-19 importation and a delay of the COVID-19 outbreak in Australia by approximately one month. Further projection of COVID-19 to May 2020 showed spread patterns depending on the basic reproduction number. CONCLUSION: Imposing the travel ban was effective in delaying widespread transmission of COVID-19. However, strengthening of the domestic control measures is needed to prevent Australia from becoming another epicentre. Implications for public health: This report has shown the importance of border closure to pandemic control. |*Travel[MESH] |Australia/epidemiology[MESH] |Basic Reproduction Number[MESH] |Betacoronavirus[MESH] |COVID-19[MESH] |Communicable Disease Control/*methods[MESH] |Coronavirus Infections[MESH] |Disease Outbreaks/*prevention & control[MESH] |Humans[MESH] |Models, Theoretical[MESH] |Pandemics/*prevention & control[MESH] |Pneumonia, Viral[MESH]Delaying the COVID-19 epidemic in Australia: evaluating the effectiven(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing