Warning: file_get_contents(https://eutils.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/eutils/elink.fcgi?dbfrom=pubmed&id=32667439&cmd=llinks): Failed to open stream: HTTP request failed! HTTP/1.1 429 Too Many Requests
in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 215
Analise da subnotificacao de COVID-19 no Brasil #MMPMID32667439
Prado MFD; Antunes BBP; Bastos LDSL; Peres IT; Silva AABD; Dantas LF; Baiao FA; Macaira P; Hamacher S; Bozza FA
Rev Bras Ter Intensiva 2020[Jun]; 32 (2): 224-228 PMID32667439show ga
OBJECTIVE: To estimate the reporting rates of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases for Brazil as a whole and states. METHODS: We estimated the actual number of COVID-19 cases using the reported number of deaths in Brazil and each state, and the expected case-fatality ratio from the World Health Organization. Brazil's expected case-fatality ratio was also adjusted by the population's age pyramid. Therefore, the notification rate can be defined as the number of confirmed cases (notified by the Ministry of Health) divided by the number of expected cases (estimated from the number of deaths). RESULTS: The reporting rate for COVID-19 in Brazil was estimated at 9.2% (95%CI 8.8% - 9.5%), with all the states presenting rates below 30%. Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro, the most populated states in Brazil, showed small reporting rates (8.9% and 7.2%, respectively). The highest reporting rate occurred in Roraima (31.7%) and the lowest in Paraiba (3.4%). CONCLUSION: The results indicated that the reporting of confirmed cases in Brazil is much lower as compared to other countries we analyzed. Therefore, decision-makers, including the government, fail to know the actual dimension of the pandemic, which may interfere with the determination of control measures.
free
free
free
Rev+Bras+Ter+Intensiva 2020 ; 32 (2): 224-228
