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10.1377/hlthaff.2020.00719

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1377/hlthaff.2020.00719
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32644825!ä!32644825

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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid32644825      Health+Aff+(Millwood) 2020 ; 39 (9): 1615-1623
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  • Shelter-In-Place Orders Reduced COVID-19 Mortality And Reduced The Rate Of Growth In Hospitalizations #MMPMID32644825
  • Lyu W; Wehby GL
  • Health Aff (Millwood) 2020[Sep]; 39 (9): 1615-1623 PMID32644825show ga
  • Most states enacted shelter-in-place orders when mitigating the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Emerging evidence indicates that these orders have reduced COVID-19 cases. Using data starting at different dates in March and going through May 15, 2020, we examined the effects of shelter-in-place orders on daily growth rates of both COVID-19 deaths and hospitalizations, using event study models. We found that shelter-in-place orders reduced both the daily mortality growth rate nearly three weeks after their enactment and the daily growth rate of hospitalizations two weeks after their enactment. After forty-two days from enactment, the daily mortality growth rate declined by up to 6.1 percentage points. Projections suggest that as many as 250,000-370,000 deaths were possibly averted by May 15 in the forty-two states plus Washington, D.C., that had statewide shelter-in-place orders. The daily hospitalization growth rate examined in nineteen states with shelter-in-place orders and three states without them that had data on hospitalizations declined by up to 8.4 percentage points after forty-two days. This evidence suggests that shelter-in-place orders have been effective in reducing the daily growth rates of COVID-19 deaths and hospitalizations.
  • |COVID-19[MESH]
  • |Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology/*prevention & control[MESH]
  • |Female[MESH]
  • |Hospitalization/*statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Male[MESH]
  • |Mortality/*trends[MESH]
  • |Pandemics/*prevention & control/statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology/*prevention & control[MESH]
  • |Policy Making[MESH]
  • |Primary Prevention/*legislation & jurisprudence[MESH]
  • |Quality Improvement[MESH]
  • |Quarantine/*legislation & jurisprudence[MESH]


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