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10.1016/j.ijid.2020.06.009 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.06.009 32534143!7286831!32534143     free     free     free Warning: file_get_contents(https://eutils.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/eutils/elink.fcgi?dbfrom=pubmed&id=32534143&cmd=llinks): Failed to open stream: HTTP request failed! HTTP/1.1 429 Too Many Requests in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 215 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 213.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 213.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 213.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 213.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 213.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Int+J+Infect+Dis 2020 ; 97 (ä): 197-201 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=32534143|t=2020. Estimating the undetected infections in the Covid-19 outbreak by harnessing capture-recapture methods |pdf=|usr=}}{{32534143}} gab.com Text Estimating the undetected infections in the Covid-19 outbreak by harnessing capture-recapture methods JO: Int J Infect Dis http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32534143 #FOAvip OBJECTIVES: A major open question, affecting the decisions of policy makers, is the estimation of the true number of Covid-19 infections. Most of them are undetected, because of a large number of asymptomatic cases. We provide an efficient, easy to compute and robust lower bound estimator for the number of undetected cases. METHODS: A modified version of the Chao estimator is proposed, based on the cumulative time-series distributions of cases and deaths. Heterogeneity has been addressed by assuming a geometrical distribution underlying the data generation process. An (approximated) analytical variance of the estimator has been derived to compute reliable confidence intervals at 95% level. RESULTS: A motivating application to the Austrian situation is provided and compared with an independent and representative study on prevalence of Covid-19 infection. Our estimates match well with the results from the independent prevalence study, but the capture-recapture estimate has less uncertainty involved as it is based on a larger sample size. Results from other European countries are mentioned in the discussion. The estimated ratio of the total estimated cases to the observed cases is around the value of 2.3 for all the analyzed countries. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed method answers to a fundamental open question: "How many undetected cases are going around?". CR methods provide a straightforward solution to shed light on undetected cases, incorporating heterogeneity that may arise in the probability of being detected. Twit Text FOAVip Estimating the undetected infections in the Covid-19 outbreak by harnessing capture-recapture methods ????Int J Infect Dis http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32534143 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32534143 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|32534143}}</ref> Estimating the undetected infections in the Covid-19 outbreak by harnessing capture-recapture methods #MMPMID32534143 Bohning D; Rocchetti I; Maruotti A; Holling H Int J Infect Dis 2020[Aug]; 97 (ä): 197-201 PMID32534143show ga OBJECTIVES: A major open question, affecting the decisions of policy makers, is the estimation of the true number of Covid-19 infections. Most of them are undetected, because of a large number of asymptomatic cases. We provide an efficient, easy to compute and robust lower bound estimator for the number of undetected cases. METHODS: A modified version of the Chao estimator is proposed, based on the cumulative time-series distributions of cases and deaths. Heterogeneity has been addressed by assuming a geometrical distribution underlying the data generation process. An (approximated) analytical variance of the estimator has been derived to compute reliable confidence intervals at 95% level. RESULTS: A motivating application to the Austrian situation is provided and compared with an independent and representative study on prevalence of Covid-19 infection. Our estimates match well with the results from the independent prevalence study, but the capture-recapture estimate has less uncertainty involved as it is based on a larger sample size. Results from other European countries are mentioned in the discussion. The estimated ratio of the total estimated cases to the observed cases is around the value of 2.3 for all the analyzed countries. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed method answers to a fundamental open question: "How many undetected cases are going around?". CR methods provide a straightforward solution to shed light on undetected cases, incorporating heterogeneity that may arise in the probability of being detected. |*Betacoronavirus[MESH] |COVID-19[MESH] |Coronavirus Infections/diagnosis/*epidemiology[MESH] |Disease Outbreaks[MESH] |Humans[MESH] |Pandemics[MESH] |Pneumonia, Viral/diagnosis/*epidemiology[MESH] |Prevalence[MESH] |SARS-CoV-2[MESH]Estimating the undetected infections in the Covid-19 outbreak by harne(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing