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10.1017/S0950268820001223 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1017/S0950268820001223 32513345!7298081!32513345     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 267.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 267.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 267.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 267.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 267.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 267.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 267.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 267.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 267.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 300.79999999999995 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Epidemiol+Infect 2020 ; 148 (ä): e109 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=32513345|t=2020. Two complementary model-based methods for calculating the risk of international spreading of a novel virus from the outbreak epicentre The case of COVID-19 |pdf=|usr=}}{{32513345}} gab.com Text Two complementary model-based methods for calculating the risk of international spreading of a novel virus from the outbreak epicentre The case of COVID-19 JO: Epidemiol Infect http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32513345 #FOAvip We present two complementary model-based methods for calculating the risk of international spread of the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 from the outbreak epicentre. One model aims to calculate the number of cases that would be exported from an endemic country to disease-free regions by travellers. The second model calculates the probability that an infected traveller will generate at least one secondary autochthonous case in the visited country. Although this paper focuses on the data from China, our methods can be adapted to calculate the risk of importation and subsequent outbreaks. We found an average R0 = 5.31 (ranging from 4.08 to 7.91) and a risk of spreading of 0.75 latent individuals per 1000 travellers. In addition, one infective traveller would be able to generate at least one secondary autochthonous case in the visited country with a probability of 23%. Twit Text FOAVip Two complementary model-based methods for calculating the risk of international spreading of a novel virus from the outbreak epicentre The case of COVID-19 ????Epidemiol Infect http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32513345 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32513345 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|32513345}}</ref> Two complementary model-based methods for calculating the risk of international spreading of a novel virus from the outbreak epicentre The case of COVID-19 #MMPMID32513345 Massad E; Amaku M; Wilder-Smith A; Costa Dos Santos PC; Struchiner CJ; Coutinho FAB Epidemiol Infect 2020[Jun]; 148 (ä): e109 PMID32513345show ga We present two complementary model-based methods for calculating the risk of international spread of the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 from the outbreak epicentre. One model aims to calculate the number of cases that would be exported from an endemic country to disease-free regions by travellers. The second model calculates the probability that an infected traveller will generate at least one secondary autochthonous case in the visited country. Although this paper focuses on the data from China, our methods can be adapted to calculate the risk of importation and subsequent outbreaks. We found an average R0 = 5.31 (ranging from 4.08 to 7.91) and a risk of spreading of 0.75 latent individuals per 1000 travellers. In addition, one infective traveller would be able to generate at least one secondary autochthonous case in the visited country with a probability of 23%. |*Betacoronavirus[MESH] |COVID-19[MESH] |Coronavirus Infections/*epidemiology[MESH] |Disease Outbreaks[MESH] |Humans[MESH] |Models, Theoretical[MESH] |Pandemics[MESH] |Pneumonia, Viral/*epidemiology[MESH] |Probability[MESH] |Risk[MESH] |SARS-CoV-2[MESH]Two complementary model-based methods for calculating the risk of inte(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing