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10.3390/ijerph17113872 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.3390/ijerph17113872 32486011!7312241!32486011     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 219.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 219.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 219.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 219.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 219.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 219.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 253.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Int+J+Environ+Res+Public+Health 2020 ; 17 (11): ä Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=32486011|t=2020. Forecast Possible Risk for COVID-19 Epidemic Dissemination Under Current Control Strategies in Japan |pdf=|usr=}}{{32486011}} gab.com Text Forecast Possible Risk for COVID-19 Epidemic Dissemination Under Current Control Strategies in Japan JO: Int J Environ Res Public Health http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32486011 #FOAvip COVID-19 has globally spread to over 4 million people and the epidemic situation in Japan is very serious. The purpose of this research was to assess the risk of COVID-19 epidemic dissemination in Japan by estimating the current state of epidemic dissemination and providing some epidemic prevention and control recommendations. Firstly, the period from 6 January to 31 March 2020 was divided into four stages and the relevant parameters were estimated according to the imported cases in Japan. The basic reproduction number of the current stage is 1.954 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.851-2.025), which means COVID-19 will spread quickly, and the self-healing rate of Japanese is about 0.495 (95% CI 0.437-0.506), with small variations in the four stages. Secondly, the results were applied to the actual reported cases from 1 to 5 April 2020, verifying the reliability of the estimated data using the accumulated reported cases located within the 95% confidence interval and the relative error of forecast data of five days being less than 2 . 5 % . Thirdly, considering the medical resources in Japan, the times the epidemic beds and ventilators become fully occupied are predicted as 5 and 15 May 2020, respectively. Keeping with the current situation, the final death toll in Japan may reach into the millions. Finally, based on experience with COVID-19 prevention and control in China, robust measures such as nationwide shutdown, store closures, citizens isolating themselves at home, and increasing PCR testing would quickly and effectively prevent COVID-19 spread. Twit Text FOAVip Forecast Possible Risk for COVID-19 Epidemic Dissemination Under Current Control Strategies in Japan ????Int J Environ Res Public Health http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32486011 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32486011 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|32486011}}</ref> Forecast Possible Risk for COVID-19 Epidemic Dissemination Under Current Control Strategies in Japan #MMPMID32486011 Chen Z; Yang J; Dai B Int J Environ Res Public Health 2020[May]; 17 (11): ä PMID32486011show ga COVID-19 has globally spread to over 4 million people and the epidemic situation in Japan is very serious. The purpose of this research was to assess the risk of COVID-19 epidemic dissemination in Japan by estimating the current state of epidemic dissemination and providing some epidemic prevention and control recommendations. Firstly, the period from 6 January to 31 March 2020 was divided into four stages and the relevant parameters were estimated according to the imported cases in Japan. The basic reproduction number of the current stage is 1.954 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.851-2.025), which means COVID-19 will spread quickly, and the self-healing rate of Japanese is about 0.495 (95% CI 0.437-0.506), with small variations in the four stages. Secondly, the results were applied to the actual reported cases from 1 to 5 April 2020, verifying the reliability of the estimated data using the accumulated reported cases located within the 95% confidence interval and the relative error of forecast data of five days being less than 2 . 5 % . Thirdly, considering the medical resources in Japan, the times the epidemic beds and ventilators become fully occupied are predicted as 5 and 15 May 2020, respectively. Keeping with the current situation, the final death toll in Japan may reach into the millions. Finally, based on experience with COVID-19 prevention and control in China, robust measures such as nationwide shutdown, store closures, citizens isolating themselves at home, and increasing PCR testing would quickly and effectively prevent COVID-19 spread. |*Betacoronavirus[MESH] |Basic Reproduction Number[MESH] |COVID-19[MESH] |Coronavirus Infections/*epidemiology[MESH] |Humans[MESH] |Japan/epidemiology[MESH] |Pandemics[MESH] |Pneumonia, Viral/*epidemiology[MESH] |Reproducibility of Results[MESH] |Risk Factors[MESH]Forecast Possible Risk for COVID-19 Epidemic Dissemination Under Curre(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing