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10.1016/j.psychres.2020.113104

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1016/j.psychres.2020.113104
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid32460184      Psychiatry+Res 2020 ; 290 (ä): 113104
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  • Projected increases in suicide in Canada as a consequence of COVID-19 #MMPMID32460184
  • McIntyre RS; Lee Y
  • Psychiatry Res 2020[Aug]; 290 (ä): 113104 PMID32460184show ga
  • Macroeconomic indicators, notably unemployment, are significant moderators of suicide. We projected the number of excess suicides in Canada as a consequence of the impact of COVID-19 on unemployment. Annual suicide mortality (2000-2018) and unemployment (2000-2019) data were derived from Statistics Canada. Time-trend regression models were used to evaluate and predict the number of excess suicides in 2020 and 2021 for two possible projection scenarios following the COVID-19 pandemic: 1) an increase in unemployment of 1.6% in 2020, 1.2% in 2021, or 2) an increase in unemployment of 10.7% in 2020, 8.9% in 2021. A percentage point increase in unemployment was associated with a 1.0% increase in suicide between 2000 and 2018. In the first scenario, the rise in unemployment rates resulted in a projected total of 418 excess suicides in 2020-2021 (suicide rate per 100,000: 11.6 in 2020). In the second scenario, the projected suicide rates per 100,000 increased to 14.0 in 2020 and 13.6 in 2021, resulting in 2114 excess suicides in 2020-2021. These results indicate that suicide prevention in the context of COVID-19-related unemployment is a critical priority. Furthermore, timely access to mental healthcare, financial provisions and social/labour support programs, as well as optimal treatment for mental disorders is urgently needed.
  • |Adult[MESH]
  • |Betacoronavirus[MESH]
  • |COVID-19[MESH]
  • |Canada/epidemiology[MESH]
  • |Coronavirus Infections/economics/*psychology/virology[MESH]
  • |Economic Recession/*statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Female[MESH]
  • |Forecasting[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Male[MESH]
  • |Mental Disorders/*epidemiology/virology[MESH]
  • |Middle Aged[MESH]
  • |Pandemics/economics[MESH]
  • |Pneumonia, Viral/economics/*psychology/virology[MESH]
  • |SARS-CoV-2[MESH]
  • |Social Support[MESH]
  • |Suicide/economics/*statistics & numerical data[MESH]


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