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10.1590/0102-311x00084420 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1590/0102-311x00084420 32428075!ä!32428075 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Cad+Saude+Publica 2020 ; 36 (5): e00084420 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=32428075|t=2020. Vertical social distancing policy is ineffective to contain the COVID-19 pandemic |pdf=|usr=}}{{32428075}} gab.com Text Vertical social distancing policy is ineffective to contain the COVID-19 pandemic JO: Cad Saude Publica http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32428075 #FOAvip Considering numerical simulations, this study shows that the so-called vertical social distancing health policy is ineffective to contain the COVID-19 pandemic. We present the SEIR-Net model, for a network of social group interactions, as a development of the classic mathematical model of SEIR epidemics (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected (symptomatic and asymptomatic)-Removed). In the SEIR-Net model, we can simulate social contacts between groups divided by age groups and analyze different strategies of social distancing. In the vertical distancing policy, only older people are distanced, whereas in the horizontal distancing policy all age groups adhere to social distancing. These two scenarios are compared to a control scenario in which no intervention is made to distance people. The vertical distancing scenario is almost as bad as the control, both in terms of people infected and in the acceleration of cases. On the other hand, horizontal distancing, if applied with the same intensity in all age groups, significantly reduces the total infected people "flattening the disease growth curve". Our analysis considers the city of Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais State, Brazil, but similar conclusions apply to other cities as well. Code implementation of the model in R-language is provided in the supplementary material. Twit Text FOAVip Vertical social distancing policy is ineffective to contain the COVID-19 pandemic ????Cad Saude Publica http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32428075 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32428075 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|32428075}}</ref> Vertical social distancing policy is ineffective to contain the COVID-19 pandemic #MMPMID32428075 Duczmal LH; Almeida ACL; Duczmal DB; Alves CRL; Magalhaes FCO; Lima MS; Silva IR; Takahashi RHC Cad Saude Publica 2020[]; 36 (5): e00084420 PMID32428075show ga Considering numerical simulations, this study shows that the so-called vertical social distancing health policy is ineffective to contain the COVID-19 pandemic. We present the SEIR-Net model, for a network of social group interactions, as a development of the classic mathematical model of SEIR epidemics (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected (symptomatic and asymptomatic)-Removed). In the SEIR-Net model, we can simulate social contacts between groups divided by age groups and analyze different strategies of social distancing. In the vertical distancing policy, only older people are distanced, whereas in the horizontal distancing policy all age groups adhere to social distancing. These two scenarios are compared to a control scenario in which no intervention is made to distance people. The vertical distancing scenario is almost as bad as the control, both in terms of people infected and in the acceleration of cases. On the other hand, horizontal distancing, if applied with the same intensity in all age groups, significantly reduces the total infected people "flattening the disease growth curve". Our analysis considers the city of Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais State, Brazil, but similar conclusions apply to other cities as well. Code implementation of the model in R-language is provided in the supplementary material. |*Communicable Disease Control[MESH] |*Social Isolation[MESH] |COVID-19[MESH] |Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology/*prevention & control[MESH] |Humans[MESH] |Models, Statistical[MESH] |Pandemics/*prevention & control[MESH] |Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology/*prevention & control[MESH]Vertical social distancing policy is ineffective to contain the COVID-(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing