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10.1126/science.abc2535 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1126/science.abc2535 32423996!7243362!32423996     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 209.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 209.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Science 2020 ; 369 (6501): 315-319 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=32423996|t=2020. Susceptible supply limits the role of climate in the early SARS-CoV-2 pandemic |pdf=|usr=}}{{32423996}} gab.com Text Susceptible supply limits the role of climate in the early SARS-CoV-2 pandemic JO: Science http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32423996 #FOAvip Preliminary evidence suggests that climate may modulate the transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Yet it remains unclear whether seasonal and geographic variations in climate can substantially alter the pandemic trajectory, given that high susceptibility is a core driver. Here, we use a climate-dependent epidemic model to simulate the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic by probing different scenarios based on known coronavirus biology. We find that although variations in weather may be important for endemic infections, during the pandemic stage of an emerging pathogen, the climate drives only modest changes to pandemic size. A preliminary analysis of nonpharmaceutical control measures indicates that they may moderate the pandemic-climate interaction through susceptible depletion. Our findings suggest that without effective control measures, strong outbreaks are likely in more humid climates and summer weather will not substantially limit pandemic growth. Twit Text FOAVip Susceptible supply limits the role of climate in the early SARS-CoV-2 pandemic ????Science http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32423996 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32423996 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|32423996}}</ref> Susceptible supply limits the role of climate in the early SARS-CoV-2 pandemic #MMPMID32423996 Baker RE; Yang W; Vecchi GA; Metcalf CJE; Grenfell BT Science 2020[Jul]; 369 (6501): 315-319 PMID32423996show ga Preliminary evidence suggests that climate may modulate the transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Yet it remains unclear whether seasonal and geographic variations in climate can substantially alter the pandemic trajectory, given that high susceptibility is a core driver. Here, we use a climate-dependent epidemic model to simulate the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic by probing different scenarios based on known coronavirus biology. We find that although variations in weather may be important for endemic infections, during the pandemic stage of an emerging pathogen, the climate drives only modest changes to pandemic size. A preliminary analysis of nonpharmaceutical control measures indicates that they may moderate the pandemic-climate interaction through susceptible depletion. Our findings suggest that without effective control measures, strong outbreaks are likely in more humid climates and summer weather will not substantially limit pandemic growth. |*Climate[MESH] |*Models, Theoretical[MESH] |Betacoronavirus[MESH] |COVID-19[MESH] |Computer Simulation[MESH] |Coronavirus Infections/*epidemiology/transmission[MESH] |Disease Susceptibility[MESH] |Humans[MESH] |Humidity[MESH] |Pandemics[MESH] |Pneumonia, Viral/*epidemiology/transmission[MESH] |SARS-CoV-2[MESH]Susceptible supply limits the role of climate in the early SARS-CoV-2 (epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing