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10.1017/dmp.2020.157 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1017/dmp.2020.157 32418556!7276503!32418556     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 231.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 231.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 231.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Disaster+Med+Public+Health+Prep 2020 ; 14 (5): 638-642 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=32418556|t=2020. Predicted Effects of Stopping COVID-19 Lockdown on Italian Hospital Demand |pdf=|usr=}}{{32418556}} gab.com Text Predicted Effects of Stopping COVID-19 Lockdown on Italian Hospital Demand JO: Disaster Med Public Health Prep http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32418556 #FOAvip OBJECTIVES: Italy has been one of the first countries to implement mitigation measures to curb the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. There is currently a debate on when and how such measures should be loosened. To forecast the demand for hospital intensive care unit (ICU) and non-ICU beds for COVID-19 patients from May to September, we developed 2 models, assuming a gradual easing of restrictions or an intermittent lockdown. METHODS: We used a compartmental model to evaluate 2 scenarios: (A) an intermittent lockdown; (B) a gradual relaxation of the lockdown. Predicted ICU and non-ICU demand was compared with the peak in hospital bed use observed in April 2020. RESULTS: Under scenario A, while ICU demand will remain below the peak, the number of non-ICU will substantially rise and will exceed it (133%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 94-171). Under scenario B, a rise in ICU and non-ICU demand will start in July and will progressively increase over the summer 2020, reaching 95% (95% CI: 71-121) and 237% (95% CI: 191-282) of the April peak. CONCLUSIONS: Italian hospital demand is likely to remain high in the next months. If restrictions are reduced, planning for the next several months should consider an increase in health-care resources to maintain surge capacity across the country. Twit Text FOAVip Predicted Effects of Stopping COVID-19 Lockdown on Italian Hospital Demand ????Disaster Med Public Health Prep http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32418556 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32418556 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|32418556}}</ref> Predicted Effects of Stopping COVID-19 Lockdown on Italian Hospital Demand #MMPMID32418556 Bollon J; Paganini M; Nava CR; De Vita N; Vaschetto R; Ragazzoni L; Della Corte F; Barone-Adesi F Disaster Med Public Health Prep 2020[Oct]; 14 (5): 638-642 PMID32418556show ga OBJECTIVES: Italy has been one of the first countries to implement mitigation measures to curb the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. There is currently a debate on when and how such measures should be loosened. To forecast the demand for hospital intensive care unit (ICU) and non-ICU beds for COVID-19 patients from May to September, we developed 2 models, assuming a gradual easing of restrictions or an intermittent lockdown. METHODS: We used a compartmental model to evaluate 2 scenarios: (A) an intermittent lockdown; (B) a gradual relaxation of the lockdown. Predicted ICU and non-ICU demand was compared with the peak in hospital bed use observed in April 2020. RESULTS: Under scenario A, while ICU demand will remain below the peak, the number of non-ICU will substantially rise and will exceed it (133%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 94-171). Under scenario B, a rise in ICU and non-ICU demand will start in July and will progressively increase over the summer 2020, reaching 95% (95% CI: 71-121) and 237% (95% CI: 191-282) of the April peak. CONCLUSIONS: Italian hospital demand is likely to remain high in the next months. If restrictions are reduced, planning for the next several months should consider an increase in health-care resources to maintain surge capacity across the country. |COVID-19/*complications/epidemiology[MESH] |Health Services Needs and Demand/*statistics & numerical data[MESH] |Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data[MESH] |Hospitals/statistics & numerical data[MESH] |Humans[MESH] |Intensive Care Units/organization & administration/statistics & numerical data[MESH] |Italy/epidemiology[MESH] |Pandemics/*prevention & control/statistics & numerical data[MESH] |Quarantine/*methods/standards/statistics & numerical data[MESH]Predicted Effects of Stopping COVID-19 Lockdown on Italian Hospital De(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing