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10.3390/ijerph17093119

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.3390/ijerph17093119
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32365775!7246727!32365775
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid32365775      Int+J+Environ+Res+Public+Health 2020 ; 17 (9): ä
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  • A Model for the Spread of Infectious Diseases in a Region #MMPMID32365775
  • Hunter E; Namee BM; Kelleher JD
  • Int J Environ Res Public Health 2020[Apr]; 17 (9): ä PMID32365775show ga
  • In understanding the dynamics of the spread of an infectious disease, it is important to understand how a town's place in a network of towns within a region will impact how the disease spreads to that town and from that town. In this article, we take a model for the spread of an infectious disease in a single town and scale it up to simulate a region containing multiple towns. The model is validated by looking at how adding additional towns and commuters influences the outbreak in a single town. We then look at how the centrality of a town within a network influences the outbreak. Our main finding is that the commuters coming into a town have a greater effect on whether an outbreak will spread to a town than the commuters going out. The findings on centrality of a town and how it influences an outbreak could potentially be used to help influence future policy and intervention strategies such as school closure policies.
  • |*Communicable Diseases/transmission[MESH]
  • |Cities[MESH]
  • |Disease Outbreaks[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Models, Theoretical[MESH]


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