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10.4103/ijmr.IJMR_504_20 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.4103/ijmr.IJMR_504_20 32362645!7258758!32362645     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 233.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 267.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 267.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 267.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Indian+J+Med+Res 2020 ; 151 (2 & 3): 190-199 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=32362645|t=2020. Prudent public health intervention strategies to control the coronavirus disease 2019 transmission in India: A mathematical model-based approach |pdf=|usr=}}{{32362645}} gab.com Text Prudent public health intervention strategies to control the coronavirus disease 2019 transmission in India: A mathematical model-based approach JO: Indian J Med Res http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32362645 #FOAvip BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has raised urgent questions about containment and mitigation, particularly in countries where the virus has not yet established human-to-human transmission. The objectives of this study were to find out if it was possible to prevent, or delay, the local outbreaks of COVID-19 through restrictions on travel from abroad and if the virus has already established in-country transmission, to what extent would its impact be mitigated through quarantine of symptomatic patients? METHODS: These questions were addressed in the context of India, using simple mathematical models of infectious disease transmission. While there remained important uncertainties in the natural history of COVID-19, using hypothetical epidemic curves, some key findings were illustrated that appeared insensitive to model assumptions, as well as highlighting critical data gaps. RESULTS: It was assumed that symptomatic quarantine would identify and quarantine 50 per cent of symptomatic individuals within three days of developing symptoms. In an optimistic scenario of the basic reproduction number (R(0)) being 1.5, and asymptomatic infections lacking any infectiousness, such measures would reduce the cumulative incidence by 62 per cent. In the pessimistic scenario of R(0)=4, and asymptomatic infections being half as infectious as symptomatic, this projected impact falls to two per cent. INTERPRETATION & CONCLUSIONS: Port-of-entry-based entry screening of travellers with suggestive clinical features and from COVID-19-affected countries, would achieve modest delays in the introduction of the virus into the community. Acting alone, however, such measures would be insufficient to delay the outbreak by weeks or longer. Once the virus establishes transmission within the community, quarantine of symptomatics may have a meaningful impact on disease burden. Model projections are subject to substantial uncertainty and can be further refined as more is understood about the natural history of infection of this novel virus. As a public health measure, health system and community preparedness would be critical to control any impending spread of COVID-19 in the country. Twit Text FOAVip Prudent public health intervention strategies to control the coronavirus disease 2019 transmission in India: A mathematical model-based approach ????Indian J Med Res http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32362645 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32362645 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|32362645}}</ref> Prudent public health intervention strategies to control the coronavirus disease 2019 transmission in India: A mathematical model-based approach #MMPMID32362645 Mandal S; Bhatnagar T; Arinaminpathy N; Agarwal A; Chowdhury A; Murhekar M; Gangakhedkar RR; Sarkar S Indian J Med Res 2020[Feb]; 151 (2 & 3): 190-199 PMID32362645show ga BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has raised urgent questions about containment and mitigation, particularly in countries where the virus has not yet established human-to-human transmission. The objectives of this study were to find out if it was possible to prevent, or delay, the local outbreaks of COVID-19 through restrictions on travel from abroad and if the virus has already established in-country transmission, to what extent would its impact be mitigated through quarantine of symptomatic patients? METHODS: These questions were addressed in the context of India, using simple mathematical models of infectious disease transmission. While there remained important uncertainties in the natural history of COVID-19, using hypothetical epidemic curves, some key findings were illustrated that appeared insensitive to model assumptions, as well as highlighting critical data gaps. RESULTS: It was assumed that symptomatic quarantine would identify and quarantine 50 per cent of symptomatic individuals within three days of developing symptoms. In an optimistic scenario of the basic reproduction number (R(0)) being 1.5, and asymptomatic infections lacking any infectiousness, such measures would reduce the cumulative incidence by 62 per cent. In the pessimistic scenario of R(0)=4, and asymptomatic infections being half as infectious as symptomatic, this projected impact falls to two per cent. INTERPRETATION & CONCLUSIONS: Port-of-entry-based entry screening of travellers with suggestive clinical features and from COVID-19-affected countries, would achieve modest delays in the introduction of the virus into the community. Acting alone, however, such measures would be insufficient to delay the outbreak by weeks or longer. Once the virus establishes transmission within the community, quarantine of symptomatics may have a meaningful impact on disease burden. Model projections are subject to substantial uncertainty and can be further refined as more is understood about the natural history of infection of this novel virus. As a public health measure, health system and community preparedness would be critical to control any impending spread of COVID-19 in the country. |*Models, Theoretical[MESH] |Basic Reproduction Number[MESH] |Betacoronavirus[MESH] |COVID-19[MESH] |Communicable Disease Control/*methods[MESH] |Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology/*prevention & control[MESH] |Epidemiological Monitoring[MESH] |Humans[MESH] |Incidence[MESH] |India[MESH] |Mass Screening[MESH] |Pandemics/*prevention & control[MESH] |Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology/*prevention & control[MESH] |Public Health[MESH] |Quarantine[MESH]Prudent public health intervention strategies to control the coronavir(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing