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10.20344/amp.13928

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.20344/amp.13928
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32343650!ä!32343650

suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid32343650      Acta+Med+Port 2020 ; 33 (6): 376-383
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  • Excess Mortality Estimation During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Preliminary Data from Portugal #MMPMID32343650
  • Nogueira PJ; Nobre MA; Nicola PJ; Furtado C; Vaz Carneiro A
  • Acta Med Port 2020[Jun]; 33 (6): 376-383 PMID32343650show ga
  • INTRODUCTION: Portugal is experiencing the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic since March 2020. All-causes mortality in Portugal increased during March and April 2020 compared to previous years, but this increase is not explained by COVID-19 reported deaths. The aim of this study was to analyze and consider other criteria for estimating excessive all-cause mortality during the early COVID-19 pandemic period. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Public data was used to estimate excess mortality by age and region between March 1 and April 22, proposing baselines adjusted for the lockdown period. RESULTS: An excess mortality of 2400 to 4000 deaths was observed. Excess mortality was associated with older age groups (over age 65) [corrected]. DISCUSSION: The data suggests a ternary explanation for early excess mortality: COVID-19, non-identified COVID-19 and decrease in access to healthcare. The estimates have implications in terms of communication of non-pharmaceutical actions, for research, and to healthcare professionals. CONCLUSION: Despite the inherent uncertainty, the excess mortality occurred between March 1 and April 22 could be 3.5- to 5-fold higher than what can be explained by the official COVID-19 deaths [corrected].
  • |*Preliminary Data[MESH]
  • |Age Distribution[MESH]
  • |Aged[MESH]
  • |COVID-19[MESH]
  • |Cause of Death[MESH]
  • |Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology/*mortality[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Middle Aged[MESH]
  • |Pandemics/*statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology/*mortality[MESH]
  • |Portugal/epidemiology[MESH]


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