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10.1016/j.ijid.2020.04.044

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.04.044
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32334115!7194543!32334115
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid32334115      Int+J+Infect+Dis 2020 ; 95 (ä): 308-310
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  • Preliminary estimates of the reproduction number of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Republic of Korea and Italy by 5 March 2020 #MMPMID32334115
  • Zhuang Z; Zhao S; Lin Q; Cao P; Lou Y; Yang L; Yang S; He D; Xiao L
  • Int J Infect Dis 2020[Jun]; 95 (ä): 308-310 PMID32334115show ga
  • The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak has caused 6088 cases and 41 deaths in Republic of Korea, and 3144 cases and 107 death in Italy by 5 March 2020, respectively. We modelled the transmission process in the Republic of Korea and Italy with a stochastic model, and estimated the basic reproduction number R(0) as 2.6 (95% CI: 2.3-2.9) or 3.2 (95% CI: 2.9-3.5) in the Republic of Korea, under the assumption that the exponential growth starting on 31 January or 5 February 2020, and 2.6 (95% CI: 2.3-2.9) or 3.3 (95% CI: 3.0-3.6) in Italy, under the assumption that the exponential growth starting on 5 February or 10 February 2020, respectively.
  • |*Basic Reproduction Number[MESH]
  • |*Betacoronavirus[MESH]
  • |COVID-19[MESH]
  • |Coronavirus Infections/*epidemiology[MESH]
  • |Disease Outbreaks[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Italy/epidemiology[MESH]
  • |Pandemics[MESH]
  • |Pneumonia, Viral/*epidemiology[MESH]
  • |Republic of Korea/epidemiology[MESH]
  • |SARS-CoV-2[MESH]


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