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10.1126/science.abb5793 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1126/science.abb5793 32291278!7164482!32291278     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Science 2020 ; 368 (6493): 860-868 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=32291278|t=2020. Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period |pdf=|usr=}}{{32291278}} gab.com Text Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period JO: Science http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32291278 #FOAvip It is urgent to understand the future of severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission. We used estimates of seasonality, immunity, and cross-immunity for human coronavirus OC43 (HCoV-OC43) and HCoV-HKU1 using time-series data from the United States to inform a model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission. We projected that recurrent wintertime outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 will probably occur after the initial, most severe pandemic wave. Absent other interventions, a key metric for the success of social distancing is whether critical care capacities are exceeded. To avoid this, prolonged or intermittent social distancing may be necessary into 2022. Additional interventions, including expanded critical care capacity and an effective therapeutic, would improve the success of intermittent distancing and hasten the acquisition of herd immunity. Longitudinal serological studies are urgently needed to determine the extent and duration of immunity to SARS-CoV-2. Even in the event of apparent elimination, SARS-CoV-2 surveillance should be maintained because a resurgence in contagion could be possible as late as 2024. Twit Text FOAVip Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period ????Science http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32291278 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32291278 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|32291278}}</ref> Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period #MMPMID32291278 Kissler SM; Tedijanto C; Goldstein E; Grad YH; Lipsitch M Science 2020[May]; 368 (6493): 860-868 PMID32291278show ga It is urgent to understand the future of severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission. We used estimates of seasonality, immunity, and cross-immunity for human coronavirus OC43 (HCoV-OC43) and HCoV-HKU1 using time-series data from the United States to inform a model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission. We projected that recurrent wintertime outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 will probably occur after the initial, most severe pandemic wave. Absent other interventions, a key metric for the success of social distancing is whether critical care capacities are exceeded. To avoid this, prolonged or intermittent social distancing may be necessary into 2022. Additional interventions, including expanded critical care capacity and an effective therapeutic, would improve the success of intermittent distancing and hasten the acquisition of herd immunity. Longitudinal serological studies are urgently needed to determine the extent and duration of immunity to SARS-CoV-2. Even in the event of apparent elimination, SARS-CoV-2 surveillance should be maintained because a resurgence in contagion could be possible as late as 2024. |*Models, Biological[MESH] |Betacoronavirus/immunology/*physiology[MESH] |COVID-19[MESH] |Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology/transmission/*virology[MESH] |Coronavirus OC43, Human/physiology[MESH] |Disease Outbreaks[MESH] |Disease Transmission, Infectious[MESH] |Humans[MESH] |Pandemics[MESH] |Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology/transmission/*virology[MESH] |SARS-CoV-2[MESH]Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpan(epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing