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Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 245.2 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Ann+Intern+Med 2020 ; 173 (3): 226-227 Nephropedia Template TP
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Caution Warranted: Using the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation Model for Predicting the Course of the COVID-19 Pandemic #MMPMID32289150
Jewell NP; Lewnard JA; Jewell BL
Ann Intern Med 2020[Aug]; 173 (3): 226-227 PMID32289150show ga
The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation model for predicting the course of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic has attracted considerable attention, including from the U.S. government. The appearance of certainty of model estimates is seductive when the world is desperate to know what lies ahead, but caution is warranted regarding the validity and usefulness of the model projections for policymakers.