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COVID-19 in Italy: impact of containment measures and prevalence estimates of infection in the general population #MMPMID32275287
Signorelli C; Scognamiglio T; Odone A
Acta Biomed 2020[Apr]; 91 (3-S): 175-179 PMID32275287show ga
Since the beginning of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy, the Italian Government implemented several restrictive measures to contain the spread of the infection. Data shows that, among these measures, the lockdown implemented as of 9 March had a positive impact, in particular the central and southern regions of Italy, while other actions appeared to be less effective. When the true prevalence of a disease is unknown, it is possible estimate it, based on mortality data and the assumptive case-fatality rate of the disease. Given these assumptions, the estimated period-prevalence of COVID-19 in Italy varies from 0.35% in Sicity to 13.3% in Lombardy.