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10.1016/j.earlhumdev.2020.105026 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1016/j.earlhumdev.2020.105026 32247898!7270771!32247898     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 211.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534       Early+Hum+Dev 2020 ; 144 (ä): 105026 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=32247898|t=2020. Unknown unknowns - COVID-19 and potential global mortality |pdf=|usr=}}{{32247898}} gab.com Text Unknown unknowns - COVID-19 and potential global mortality JO: Early Hum Dev http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32247898 #FOAvip COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) is currently a global pandemic. This paper will attempt to estimate global infection rates and potential resultant mortality in the absence of effective treatment and/or vaccination. Calculations are based on World Health Organisation data from Wuhan in China: 14% of infected cases are severe, 5% require intensive care and 4% die. Estimated infection rates and mortality rates at the level of continents and some individual countries (when these are of sufficient size) are tabulated. This pandemic may cause close to half a billion deaths, i.e. 6% of the global population - and potentially more. At the risk of sounding sensational, but with a sober sense of realism, healthcare risks being plunged into the Middle-Ages if the public do not do their part. Infection cannot occur in the absence of contact. The only way to mitigate these numbers is to apply social distancing and take the standard precautions so frequently reiterated by Public Health: hand washing, avoid touching the face and so on. These measures are crucial as the human cost is going to be unthinkable even in the best-case scenarios that epidemiologists are modelling. Twit Text FOAVip Unknown unknowns - COVID-19 and potential global mortality ????Early Hum Dev http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32247898 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=32247898 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|32247898}}</ref> Unknown unknowns - COVID-19 and potential global mortality #MMPMID32247898 Grech V Early Hum Dev 2020[May]; 144 (ä): 105026 PMID32247898show ga COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) is currently a global pandemic. This paper will attempt to estimate global infection rates and potential resultant mortality in the absence of effective treatment and/or vaccination. Calculations are based on World Health Organisation data from Wuhan in China: 14% of infected cases are severe, 5% require intensive care and 4% die. Estimated infection rates and mortality rates at the level of continents and some individual countries (when these are of sufficient size) are tabulated. This pandemic may cause close to half a billion deaths, i.e. 6% of the global population - and potentially more. At the risk of sounding sensational, but with a sober sense of realism, healthcare risks being plunged into the Middle-Ages if the public do not do their part. Infection cannot occur in the absence of contact. The only way to mitigate these numbers is to apply social distancing and take the standard precautions so frequently reiterated by Public Health: hand washing, avoid touching the face and so on. These measures are crucial as the human cost is going to be unthinkable even in the best-case scenarios that epidemiologists are modelling. |*Models, Statistical[MESH] |COVID-19[MESH] |Coronavirus Infections/epidemiology/*mortality[MESH] |Global Health/*statistics & numerical data[MESH] |Humans[MESH] |Pandemics[MESH] |Pneumonia, Viral/epidemiology/*mortality[MESH] |Survival Rate[MESH] |Uncertainty[MESH]Unknown unknowns - COVID-19 and potential global mortality (epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing