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10.1093/pubmed/fdaa046

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32219398!7184396!32219398
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid32219398      J+Public+Health+(Oxf) 2020 ; 42 (3): 651-652
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  • Negligible risk of the COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in China (outside Hubei): a statistical probability study #MMPMID32219398
  • Zhao K; Long C; Wang Y; Zeng T; Fu X
  • J Public Health (Oxf) 2020[Aug]; 42 (3): 651-652 PMID32219398show ga
  • The COVID-19 outbreak in China appears to reach the late stage since late March 2020, and a stepwise restoration of economic operations is implemented. Risk assessment for such economic restoration is of significance. Here, we estimated the probability of COVID-19 resurgence caused by work resuming in typical provinces/cities and found that such probability is very limited (<5% for all the regions except Beijing). Our work may inform provincial governments to make risk level-based, differentiated control measures.
  • |*Probability[MESH]
  • |Adult[MESH]
  • |Betacoronavirus[MESH]
  • |COVID-19[MESH]
  • |China/epidemiology[MESH]
  • |Cities[MESH]
  • |Coronavirus Infections/*epidemiology/*transmission[MESH]
  • |Disease Outbreaks/*statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Female[MESH]
  • |Humans[MESH]
  • |Male[MESH]
  • |Middle Aged[MESH]
  • |Pandemics[MESH]
  • |Pneumonia, Viral/*epidemiology/*transmission[MESH]
  • |Recurrence[MESH]
  • |Return to Work/*statistics & numerical data[MESH]
  • |Risk Assessment/*statistics & numerical data[MESH]


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