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2014 ; 20
(ä): 43-55
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Linking Specialization and Seriousness in Criminal Careers
#MMPMID25422597
MacDonald JM
; Haviland A
; Ramchand R
; Morral AR
; Piquero AR
Adv Life Course Res
2014[Jun]; 20
(ä): 43-55
PMID25422597
show ga
Some research suggests that recidivistic criminal offending patterns typically
progress in a stepping-stone manner from less to more serious forms of offending
from childhood to adolescence to adulthood. Whether the progression into more
serious types of offending reflects patterns of crime specialization is a matter
of debate. Using data from 449 adolescent offenders who were interviewed at six
time points between adolescence and adulthood, we present a new method for
measuring crime specialization and apply it to an assessment of the link between
specialization and offense seriousness. We measure specialization by constructing
an empirical measure of how similar crimes are from each other based on the rate
at which crimes co-occur within individual crime pathways over a given offender
population. We then use these empirically-based population-specific offense
similarities to assign a specialization score to each subject at each time period
based on the set of crimes they self-report at that time. Finally, we examine how
changes over time in specialization, within individuals, is correlated with
changes in the seriousness of the offenses they report committing. Results
suggest that the progression of crime into increasingly serious forms of
offending does not reflect a general pattern of offense specialization.
Implications for life course research are noted.