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10.1038/srep16571 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1038/srep16571 C4644972!4644972 !26568377     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 209.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 209.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 209.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Warning: imagejpeg(C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\phplern\26568377 .jpg): Failed to open stream: No such file or directory in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 117       Sci+Rep 2015 ; 5 (ä): 16571 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=26568377 |t=2015. Disease-induced resource constraints can trigger explosive epidemics |pdf=|usr=}}{{26568377 }} gab.com Text Disease-induced resource constraints can trigger explosive epidemics JO: Sci Rep http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=26568377 #FOAvip Advances in mathematical epidemiology have led to a better understanding of the risks posed by epidemic spreading and informed strategies to contain disease spread. However, a challenge that has been overlooked is that, as a disease becomes more prevalent, it can limit the availability of the capital needed to effectively treat those who have fallen ill. Here we use a simple mathematical model to gain insight into the dynamics of an epidemic when the recovery of sick individuals depends on the availability of healing resources that are generated by the healthy population. We find that epidemics spiral out of control into "explosive" spread if the cost of recovery is above a critical cost. This can occur even when the disease would die out without the resource constraint. The onset of explosive epidemics is very sudden, exhibiting a discontinuous transition under very general assumptions. We find analytical expressions for the critical cost and the size of the explosive jump in infection levels in terms of the parameters that characterize the spreading process. Our model and results apply beyond epidemics to contagion dynamics that self-induce constraints on recovery, thereby amplifying the spreading process. Twit Text FOAVip Disease-induced resource constraints can trigger explosive epidemics ????Sci Rep http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=26568377 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=26568377 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|26568377 }}</ref> Disease-induced resource constraints can trigger explosive epidemics #MMPMID26568377 Böttcher L ; Woolley-Meza O ; Araújo NA ; Herrmann HJ ; Helbing D Sci Rep 2015[Nov]; 5 (ä): 16571 PMID26568377 show ga Advances in mathematical epidemiology have led to a better understanding of the risks posed by epidemic spreading and informed strategies to contain disease spread. However, a challenge that has been overlooked is that, as a disease becomes more prevalent, it can limit the availability of the capital needed to effectively treat those who have fallen ill. Here we use a simple mathematical model to gain insight into the dynamics of an epidemic when the recovery of sick individuals depends on the availability of healing resources that are generated by the healthy population. We find that epidemics spiral out of control into "explosive" spread if the cost of recovery is above a critical cost. This can occur even when the disease would die out without the resource constraint. The onset of explosive epidemics is very sudden, exhibiting a discontinuous transition under very general assumptions. We find analytical expressions for the critical cost and the size of the explosive jump in infection levels in terms of the parameters that characterize the spreading process. Our model and results apply beyond epidemics to contagion dynamics that self-induce constraints on recovery, thereby amplifying the spreading process. |Communicable Disease Control [MESH] |Communicable Diseases/economics/epidemiology [MESH] |Epidemics/economics/prevention & control/*statistics & numerical data [MESH] |Health Care Costs [MESH] |Humans [MESH]Disease-induced resource constraints can trigger explosive epidemics (epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing