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10.1007/s13524-015-0415-0 http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1007/s13524-015-0415-0 C4605963!4605963 !26358699     free     free     free Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 209.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Deprecated: Implicit conversion from float 209.6 to int loses precision in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 534 Warning: imagejpeg(C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\phplern\26358699 .jpg): Failed to open stream: No such file or directory in C:\Inetpub\vhosts\kidney.de\httpdocs\pget.php on line 117       Demography 2015 ; 52 (5 ): 1627-50 Nephropedia Template TP {{tp|p=26358699 |t=2015. Bayesian Probabilistic Projection of International Migration |pdf=|usr=}}{{26358699 }} gab.com Text Bayesian Probabilistic Projection of International Migration JO: Demography http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=26358699 #FOAvip We propose a method for obtaining joint probabilistic projections of migration for all countries, broken down by age and sex. Joint trajectories for all countries are constrained to satisfy the requirement of zero global net migration. We evaluate our model using out-of-sample validation and compare point projections to the projected migration rates from a persistence model similar to the method used in the United Nations' World Population Prospects, and also to a state-of-the-art gravity model. Twit Text FOAVip Bayesian Probabilistic Projection of International Migration ????Demography http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=26358699 #FOAvip Twit Text # Free Paper on # # # # # LINK http://www.kidney.de/pget.php?&tw=1&pmid=26358699 #FOAvip English Wikipedia <ref>{{Cite pmid|26358699 }}</ref> Bayesian Probabilistic Projection of International Migration #MMPMID26358699 Azose JJ ; Raftery AE Demography 2015[Oct]; 52 (5 ): 1627-50 PMID26358699 show ga We propose a method for obtaining joint probabilistic projections of migration for all countries, broken down by age and sex. Joint trajectories for all countries are constrained to satisfy the requirement of zero global net migration. We evaluate our model using out-of-sample validation and compare point projections to the projected migration rates from a persistence model similar to the method used in the United Nations' World Population Prospects, and also to a state-of-the-art gravity model. |*Bayes Theorem [MESH] |Age Distribution [MESH] |Emigration and Immigration/*trends [MESH] |Humans [MESH] |Markov Chains [MESH] |Monte Carlo Method [MESH] |Population Dynamics [MESH] |Sex Distribution [MESH] |Time Factors [MESH]Bayesian Probabilistic Projection of International Migration (epmc).pdf DeepDyve Pubget Overpricing