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10.1126/science.aal4108

http://scihub22266oqcxt.onion/10.1126/science.aal4108
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suck abstract from ncbi


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pmid28663495
      Science 2017 ; 356 (6345 ): 1356-1362
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  • A human-driven decline in global burned area #MMPMID28663495
  • Andela N ; Morton DC ; Giglio L ; Chen Y ; van der Werf GR ; Kasibhatla PS ; DeFries RS ; Collatz GJ ; Hantson S ; Kloster S ; Bachelet D ; Forrest M ; Lasslop G ; Li F ; Mangeon S ; Melton JR ; Yue C ; Randerson JT
  • Science 2017[Jun]; 356 (6345 ): 1356-1362 PMID28663495 show ga
  • Fire is an essential Earth system process that alters ecosystem and atmospheric composition. Here we assessed long-term fire trends using multiple satellite data sets. We found that global burned area declined by 24.3 ± 8.8% over the past 18 years. The estimated decrease in burned area remained robust after adjusting for precipitation variability and was largest in savannas. Agricultural expansion and intensification were primary drivers of declining fire activity. Fewer and smaller fires reduced aerosol concentrations, modified vegetation structure, and increased the magnitude of the terrestrial carbon sink. Fire models were unable to reproduce the pattern and magnitude of observed declines, suggesting that they may overestimate fire emissions in future projections. Using economic and demographic variables, we developed a conceptual model for predicting fire in human-dominated landscapes.
  • |*Climate [MESH]
  • |*Ecosystem [MESH]
  • |*Fires [MESH]
  • |*Satellite Imagery [MESH]
  • |Agriculture [MESH]
  • |Carbon Sequestration [MESH]
  • |Conservation of Natural Resources [MESH]
  • |Human Activities [MESH]


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